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Transcript

Will Great Britain Kick Off a Third World War?

The Fates of Nations

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As societies become more diverse in the West, they also have to become more repressive.

We've seen the evidence of this phenomenon over the weekend in Great Britain. Ethnic riots broke out after native children had been slaughtered. And you noticed that the establishment's response was to crack down or to repress the native uprising, while supporting and defending basically the clans who perpetrated the murders in the first place.

Now, how do we explain what's going on? In 1980, Paul Colinvaux, an ecologist, wrote this book, The Fates of Nations: A Biological Theory of History, in which he explains this kind of dynamic.

He explains that it's all about niche space or living space. The Germans would have called it Lebensraum.

It means, for example, that the native lower classes in Britain occupy a certain niche, an economic niche space that feeds them and houses them. Even though they will never be wealthy, they accept it because they get to have larger numbers. They have more children on average than, say, the middle class.

The middle class in turn occupies their own living space, and so do the upper classes.

Now we see that mass migration coming into Western countries such as Britain, France or Germany is mostly migration into the lower classes of these societies. And so immigrants begin a direct competition for jobs and housing with the existing native lower classes.

But nations such as Great Britain have an additional problem. These are extremely globalized nations, meaning, they cannot feed their own people using their own resources, because they're an island nation. And so they need globalism and global trade to source the materials and the food that they need to feed their own people.

As a consequence, the British establishment seems to be siding with the migrants, which they need in order to grow their economy, against the natives who are actually gradually losing out. Their salaries are not up to par with inflation, for example. Housing is being given to the newcomers rather than to the old stayers, so to speak.

And ultimately, this economic conflict starts to affect the middle classes. Here's a great excerpt from another blog that I wrote about Colinvaux's book:

But those caught in the middle, the middle classes, those who grew up expecting that their life would include a comfortable house with a big garden, an interesting, rewarding job, the wherewithal to travel and follow interests, whether it be rock climbing or pottery …

What happens when they, the middle class members, find out that they're going to have to settle for much less than their parents had? What when they find that they can't get a job, can't afford a house, or a car, or a holiday, or even a child?

And that description matches exactly what is going on in every Western nation, even in the USA, Canada, Australia. It's the native middle classes who are no longer able to have the life that their parents used to have, the life they grew up in, the life they were going to expect.

And what Colinvaux predicts in his book, The Fates of Nations, is that revolutions in these countries will be led by members of the middle classes who will rally their native lower classes against, effectively, the upper classes and their clientele, meaning, for example, immigrants.

So you're going to see in every one of these nations an internal conflict between... the lower classes who are losing out, native lower classes, the native middle class siding together against the upper class and their foreign interests.

But this internal conflict will also express itself externally. As the demand for resources and wealth within each of these Western European nations increases and access to this wealth decreases, there's going to be the possibility of war.

And Colinvaux predicted in 1980 what sort of country might start this new Third World War. So Colinvaux says...,

It will be a small, crowded island state which lives on other nations' territories. In other words, imports most of its goods. It will happen because the people of this small island state, especially the middling sort, feel thwarted and angry as their niche space shrinks and as they grow more bitter and disappointed by the failure of their politicians' solutions.

It will be begun, he predicted 44 years ago, by either Japan or Great Britain.

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